The Election Results - An Analysis and my views

Yes, the Indian Voters who have bothered to go out and vote have finally decided and rightfully so that they want a stable Government at the Centre to steer the country over the next five years especially in the troubled times being faced by the Economy. The Congress Party has emerged as the single largest and the UPA as the single largest pre poll alliance with almost commanding a majority of its own. What to the results mean and how do they translate can be summed up as follows-

1 The Congress Party has regained lost ground especially and significantly in the State of UP where they were totally annihilated in the previous elections.

2 The BJP has lost some of its sheen, is down but certainly not out.

3 The Regional Parties such as the RJD, HVP, AIADMK, PMK, MDMK, TDP,TRS,SAD etc have been completely marginalised and will have no significant role to play at the moment in National Politics. The SP and the BSP do have a reasonable presence in terms of seats but have become insignificant players as the stability of the Government does not depend on their support or otherwise.

4 The Left and their communist idealogy has taken a severe beating and the loss in West Bengal which was considered their impregnable fortress are ominous signs that their influence in the voters minds of West Bengal and Kerala is waning which is in my opinion the best thing to have happened to this Country. The Bluff of the Communists as being the torch bearers of the working class has been called as they have exposed themselves by opposing progressive economic policies. Communism has been on the decline the world over especially in progressive economies and we all should work towards ensuring its extinction in India.

5 The popular notion gaining ground that the Hindutva leaning of the BJP has eroded its vote base is fallacious as the BJP has done reasonably well and in fact increased its vote share in a few states where it is in Power and even in Coastal Karnataka (inspite of the Ram Sena playing havoc with its extremist views) the party has swept all the seats. This is an indication that you need not be apologetic about your idealogy if you want to retain or increase your vote base. Another case to point is the victory of Varun Gandhi by almost a margin of One Lakh Votes inspite of his so called hate speech where the Hindus seem to have voted for him with a vengeance. The talk doing the rounds that projecting Narendra Modi as a future PM was a monumental blunder is only a campaign to dent the popularity and larger than life image of Modi who has repeatedly proved the polsters and their opinion and exit polls wrong. Its is only the aggressive economic policies and rightist leaning of Modi which could resurrect the image of the BJP and the party in my opinion needs to cultivate many more Modi's across the country to get its cadres rejuvenated.

6 The Congress may have won this time but projecting their victory as that of Rahul Gandhi's is what will cost it dear in the years to come as there are many more meritorious and deserving youngsters in the Congress who are forced to play second fiddle only because they do have the Gandhi tag attached to them and the frustration arising out of the subservience expected from the highly educated lot to the Gandhi Family may boil and spill over at some point of time.

7 An analysis of the Election results would show that the UPA won because of better alliance management skills whereas the NDA lost because of its rift with the BJD in Orissa and the shifting of the Trinamool to the UPA fold.

8 A demoralising aspect of the demographic profile of the present Lok Sabha shows that the average age of the MP is 62 which demonstrates the fact that youngsters are not coming to the fore and taking to politics as a full time vocation. The Union Cabinet predominantly consists of old Congress bigwigs and loyalists with an average age of 66 and a few youngsters have been accomodated as Ministers of State with a few first time MP's like Shashi Tharoor finding a place.

9 Last but not the least the silver lining in the dark economic clouds for the business community and the Service Sector is the exit of Mr P Chidambaram from the Finance Ministry and i fervently hope and pray that his shadow would not loom large over Sri Pranab Mukherjee's dimunitive frame thereby paving the way for the removal of taxes such as FBT and reduction in rates of Service Tax.

For me personally the Election Results are a dampener as my cherished desire of seeing a BJP led Government would have to wait probably for five more years but the optimistic streak in me believes that this election was only the semi final and the final in the year 2014 would have a Government led by the likes of Narendra Modi or the man himself steering the country forward. I live with that hope like thousands of other Indians some of them openly and others discretely.

Waiting for the Results of the Great Indian Election

In a few days time i.e precisely on the 16th of May we should know the results of the Five Phase long drawn out election which will decide who will rule the Worlds Largest Democracy in all probability for the next five years. All avid political researchers and pundits have also preferred to remain silent on the outcome as nobody appears sure of the outcome which many conclude is " too close to call ". The number of Regional Parties and thier Satraps who are expected to decide the fate of whether the NDA or UPA would form the Govt or they themselves would be able to cobble a majority under a consensus Prime Minister is anybody's guess.

Being a person with a strong nationalist mind and with a tinge of the RSS Blood , i live with the fervent hope that the NDA will form the next Government with L K Advani as the PM at the moment to give way to somebody like Narendra Modi in future.


The most disappointing part of this Election has been the poor election turnout inspite of a prolonged and persuasive publicity campaign where many celebrities were used to appeal to the masses to cast thier valuable vote. The poor turnout has been blamed on the heat and the wedding season in certain parts of the Country whereas the main reason is obviously Voter Apathy to certain extent and indifference to a larger Extent with the escapist common refrain" what do we gain from voting and what will anybody do after coming to power".

As far as the election campaign is concerned it appears that the Congress is back to its sycophant best by projecting Rahul Gandhi as a Future Prime Minister and also making him the star Campaigner which in my opinion could be the biggest contibuting factor to the Congress defeat. The inexperienced remarks of the Fourth Generation Gandhi with an appearance which borders on underlying arrogance could well be the Achiles Heal of the Congress. It was appalling to see veteran Congress Leaders like Pranab Mukherjee, C K Jaffer Sharief, A K Antony etc literally bending their head in obescience to Rahul Gandhi just because he carries that famous surname although not with any calibre to back it.

The Flip Flops of the so called principal leaders of the Left Front over supporting the Congress under the pseudo Secular Ideology is bemusing and add credence to the fact that the Left Front is as opportunistic as others went it comes to knocking on the doors of Power.

The Creation of the Third Front and the Fourth Front has opened huge windows of opportunity for political bargaining and all of us are waiting to see this drama unfold in the next few days with plum posts in the Cabinet being bartered for support. The Blame for this situation is obviously with the voting public who seem to lack the maturity to decide to let the Country to be run by a Single Party Rule so as to ensure stability. Thanks to them the Mulayams, Mayawati's, the Nitish Kumars, the Jayalalitha's etc have become more powerful than what they deserve to be. It will not be a surprise if the Prime Minister emerges from a party with a handful of MP's after the elections.

Last but not the least i fervently hope and pray that Mr P Chidambaram faces defeat at the polls which i feel he deserves for the damage his policies have done to the Indian Economy and the business morale in the Country. After all he deserves credit for bringing in Service Tax on Rentals of Immovable Property while exempting the services rendered by Lawyers and Doctors who in his opinion it appears do not render any service. Mr PC should also be credited for his single minded Devotion to ensure that Fringe Benefits Tax is payable even on genuine business expenditure by applying the logic that it is a benefit enjoyed by the Employees